Minupar Participaes (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.89
| MNPR3 Stock | BRL 19.49 1.34 7.38% |
Minupar |
Minupar Participaes Target Price Odds to finish below 15.89
The tendency of Minupar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 15.89 or more in 90 days |
| 19.49 | 90 days | 15.89 | about 7.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Minupar Participaes to drop to R$ 15.89 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.96 (This Minupar Participaes SA probability density function shows the probability of Minupar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Minupar Participaes price to stay between R$ 15.89 and its current price of R$19.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Minupar Participaes has a beta of 0.93. This indicates Minupar Participaes SA market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Minupar Participaes is expected to follow. Additionally Minupar Participaes SA has an alpha of 0.1995, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Minupar Participaes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Minupar Participaes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minupar Participaes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Minupar Participaes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Minupar Participaes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Minupar Participaes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Minupar Participaes SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Minupar Participaes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Minupar Participaes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Minupar Participaes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Minupar Participaes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Minupar Participaes had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Minupar Participaes SA has accumulated 250 K in total debt. Minupar Participaes has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Minupar Participaes until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Minupar Participaes' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Minupar Participaes sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Minupar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Minupar Participaes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Minupar Participaes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Minupar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Minupar Participaes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Minupar Participaes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 859 K |
Minupar Participaes Technical Analysis
Minupar Participaes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Minupar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Minupar Participaes SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Minupar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Minupar Participaes Predictive Forecast Models
Minupar Participaes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Minupar Participaes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Minupar Participaes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Minupar Participaes
Checking the ongoing alerts about Minupar Participaes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Minupar Participaes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Minupar Participaes had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Minupar Participaes SA has accumulated 250 K in total debt. Minupar Participaes has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Minupar Participaes until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Minupar Participaes' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Minupar Participaes sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Minupar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Minupar Participaes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Minupar Stock Analysis
When running Minupar Participaes' price analysis, check to measure Minupar Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Minupar Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of Minupar Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Minupar Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Minupar Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Minupar Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.