Monster Beverage (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50.74

MOB Stock  EUR 52.96  1.54  2.99%   
Monster Beverage's future price is the expected price of Monster Beverage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Monster Beverage Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Monster Beverage Backtesting, Monster Beverage Valuation, Monster Beverage Correlation, Monster Beverage Hype Analysis, Monster Beverage Volatility, Monster Beverage History as well as Monster Beverage Performance.
  
Please specify Monster Beverage's target price for which you would like Monster Beverage odds to be computed.

Monster Beverage Target Price Odds to finish below 50.74

The tendency of Monster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 50.74  or more in 90 days
 52.96 90 days 50.74 
about 88.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monster Beverage to drop to € 50.74  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.7 (This Monster Beverage Corp probability density function shows the probability of Monster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monster Beverage Corp price to stay between € 50.74  and its current price of €52.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Monster Beverage has a beta of 0.71. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Monster Beverage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Monster Beverage Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Monster Beverage Corp has an alpha of 0.2644, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Monster Beverage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Monster Beverage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monster Beverage Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.9352.9654.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.6659.4761.50
Details

Monster Beverage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monster Beverage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monster Beverage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monster Beverage Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monster Beverage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
2.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Monster Beverage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monster Beverage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monster Beverage Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Monster Beverage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Monster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Monster Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monster Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding522.1 M

Monster Beverage Technical Analysis

Monster Beverage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monster Beverage Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Monster Beverage Predictive Forecast Models

Monster Beverage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Monster Beverage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Monster Beverage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Monster Beverage Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Monster Beverage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monster Beverage Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Monster Stock

When determining whether Monster Beverage Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Monster Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Monster Beverage Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Monster Beverage Corp Stock:
Check out Monster Beverage Backtesting, Monster Beverage Valuation, Monster Beverage Correlation, Monster Beverage Hype Analysis, Monster Beverage Volatility, Monster Beverage History as well as Monster Beverage Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monster Beverage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Monster Beverage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Monster Beverage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.