Moberg Pharma (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.34
| MOB Stock | SEK 17.85 0.42 2.41% |
Moberg |
Moberg Pharma Target Price Odds to finish below 16.34
The tendency of Moberg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 16.34 or more in 90 days |
| 17.85 | 90 days | 16.34 | about 54.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moberg Pharma to drop to kr 16.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.92 (This Moberg Pharma AB probability density function shows the probability of Moberg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moberg Pharma AB price to stay between kr 16.34 and its current price of kr17.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Moberg Pharma has a beta of 0.0796. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Moberg Pharma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Moberg Pharma AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Moberg Pharma AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Moberg Pharma Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Moberg Pharma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moberg Pharma AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Moberg Pharma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moberg Pharma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moberg Pharma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moberg Pharma AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moberg Pharma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Moberg Pharma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moberg Pharma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moberg Pharma AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Moberg Pharma AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Moberg Pharma AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Moberg Pharma AB has accumulated about 36.6 M in cash with (15.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.82. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Moberg Pharma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moberg Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moberg Pharma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moberg Pharma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 102 M |
Moberg Pharma Technical Analysis
Moberg Pharma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moberg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moberg Pharma AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moberg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Moberg Pharma Predictive Forecast Models
Moberg Pharma's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moberg Pharma's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moberg Pharma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Moberg Pharma AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Moberg Pharma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moberg Pharma AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Moberg Pharma AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Moberg Pharma AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Moberg Pharma AB has accumulated about 36.6 M in cash with (15.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.82. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Moberg Stock Analysis
When running Moberg Pharma's price analysis, check to measure Moberg Pharma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moberg Pharma is operating at the current time. Most of Moberg Pharma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moberg Pharma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moberg Pharma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moberg Pharma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.