Power Momentum Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.2

MOJOX Fund  USD 15.45  0.14  0.91%   
Power Momentum's future price is the expected price of Power Momentum instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Power Momentum Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Power Momentum Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Power Momentum Correlation, Power Momentum Hype Analysis, Power Momentum Volatility, Power Momentum History as well as Power Momentum Performance.
  
Please specify Power Momentum's target price for which you would like Power Momentum odds to be computed.

Power Momentum Target Price Odds to finish over 10.2

The tendency of Power Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.20  in 90 days
 15.45 90 days 10.20 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Power Momentum to stay above $ 10.20  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Power Momentum Index probability density function shows the probability of Power Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Power Momentum Index price to stay between $ 10.20  and its current price of $15.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Power Momentum has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Power Momentum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Power Momentum Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Power Momentum Index has an alpha of 0.0811, implying that it can generate a 0.0811 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Power Momentum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Power Momentum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Momentum Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.4515.3116.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2615.1215.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.4715.3316.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.0015.2015.40
Details

Power Momentum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Power Momentum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Power Momentum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Power Momentum Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Power Momentum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.0078

Power Momentum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Power Momentum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Power Momentum Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.6% of its assets in stocks

Power Momentum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Power Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Power Momentum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Momentum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Power Momentum Technical Analysis

Power Momentum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Power Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Power Momentum Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Power Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Power Momentum Predictive Forecast Models

Power Momentum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Power Momentum's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Power Momentum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Power Momentum Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about Power Momentum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Power Momentum Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.6% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Power Mutual Fund

Power Momentum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Power Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Power with respect to the benefits of owning Power Momentum security.
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