Mondee Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.46

MOND Stock  USD 0.88  0.08  8.33%   
Mondee Holdings' future price is the expected price of Mondee Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mondee Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mondee Holdings Backtesting, Mondee Holdings Valuation, Mondee Holdings Correlation, Mondee Holdings Hype Analysis, Mondee Holdings Volatility, Mondee Holdings History as well as Mondee Holdings Performance.
For information on how to trade Mondee Stock refer to our How to Trade Mondee Stock guide.
  
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.12, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.91. Please specify Mondee Holdings' target price for which you would like Mondee Holdings odds to be computed.

Mondee Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 1.46

The tendency of Mondee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.46  after 90 days
 0.88 90 days 1.46 
about 63.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mondee Holdings to stay under $ 1.46  after 90 days from now is about 63.44 (This Mondee Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Mondee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mondee Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.88  and $ 1.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.79 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mondee Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Mondee Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mondee Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mondee Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mondee Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.856.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.509.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.826.56
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.3711.4012.65
Details

Mondee Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mondee Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mondee Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mondee Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mondee Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Mondee Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mondee Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mondee Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mondee Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mondee Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mondee Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mondee Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Mondee Holdings currently holds 165.61 M in liabilities. Mondee Holdings has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Mondee Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 223.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.79 M.
Mondee Holdings currently holds about 10.93 M in cash with (21.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Mondee Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mondee Announces Receipt of Non-Compliance Letter from Nasdaq Prasad Gundumogula takes leave of absence as CEO Mondee Appoints Jesus Portillo as CEO

Mondee Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mondee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mondee Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mondee Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36 M

Mondee Holdings Technical Analysis

Mondee Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mondee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mondee Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mondee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mondee Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Mondee Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mondee Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mondee Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mondee Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mondee Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mondee Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mondee Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mondee Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mondee Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mondee Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Mondee Holdings currently holds 165.61 M in liabilities. Mondee Holdings has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Mondee Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 223.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.79 M.
Mondee Holdings currently holds about 10.93 M in cash with (21.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Mondee Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mondee Announces Receipt of Non-Compliance Letter from Nasdaq Prasad Gundumogula takes leave of absence as CEO Mondee Appoints Jesus Portillo as CEO
When determining whether Mondee Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Mondee Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Mondee Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Mondee Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mondee Holdings. If investors know Mondee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mondee Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.17)
Revenue Per Share
2.963
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.027
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(2.69)
The market value of Mondee Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mondee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mondee Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mondee Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mondee Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mondee Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mondee Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mondee Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mondee Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.