Montfort Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0996
| MONTF Stock | USD 0.10 0.03 23.08% |
Montfort |
Montfort Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0996
The tendency of Montfort Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.1 or more in 90 days |
| 0.10 | 90 days | 0.1 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Montfort Capital to drop to $ 0.1 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Montfort Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Montfort Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Montfort Capital Corp price to stay between $ 0.1 and its current price of $0.1 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Montfort Capital has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Montfort Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Montfort Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Montfort Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Montfort Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Montfort Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Montfort Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Montfort Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Montfort Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Montfort Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Montfort Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Montfort Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Montfort Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Montfort Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Montfort Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Montfort Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Montfort Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Montfort Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Montfort Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (701.42 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.97 M. | |
| Montfort Capital Corp has accumulated about 3.45 M in cash with (5.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Montfort Capital Technical Analysis
Montfort Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Montfort Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Montfort Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Montfort Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Montfort Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Montfort Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Montfort Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Montfort Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Montfort Capital Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Montfort Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Montfort Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Montfort Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Montfort Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Montfort Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (701.42 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.97 M. | |
| Montfort Capital Corp has accumulated about 3.45 M in cash with (5.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Montfort Pink Sheet
Montfort Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Montfort Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Montfort with respect to the benefits of owning Montfort Capital security.