Moong Pattana (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.2

MOONG Stock  THB 2.10  0.02  0.94%   
Moong Pattana's future price is the expected price of Moong Pattana instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moong Pattana International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moong Pattana Backtesting, Moong Pattana Valuation, Moong Pattana Correlation, Moong Pattana Hype Analysis, Moong Pattana Volatility, Moong Pattana History as well as Moong Pattana Performance.
  
Please specify Moong Pattana's target price for which you would like Moong Pattana odds to be computed.

Moong Pattana Target Price Odds to finish below 2.2

The tendency of Moong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  2.20  after 90 days
 2.10 90 days 2.20 
about 85.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moong Pattana to stay under  2.20  after 90 days from now is about 85.93 (This Moong Pattana International probability density function shows the probability of Moong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moong Pattana Intern price to stay between its current price of  2.10  and  2.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Moong Pattana has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Moong Pattana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Moong Pattana International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Moong Pattana International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Moong Pattana Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moong Pattana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moong Pattana Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.822.103.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.842.123.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.812.093.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.072.152.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Moong Pattana. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Moong Pattana's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Moong Pattana's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Moong Pattana Intern.

Moong Pattana Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moong Pattana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moong Pattana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moong Pattana International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moong Pattana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Moong Pattana Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moong Pattana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moong Pattana Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moong Pattana Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Moong Pattana Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moong Pattana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moong Pattana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168.7 M

Moong Pattana Technical Analysis

Moong Pattana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moong Pattana International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moong Pattana Predictive Forecast Models

Moong Pattana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moong Pattana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moong Pattana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moong Pattana Intern

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moong Pattana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moong Pattana Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moong Pattana Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Moong Stock

Moong Pattana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moong with respect to the benefits of owning Moong Pattana security.