More Return (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0545

MORE Stock   0.03  0.01  25.00%   
More Return's future price is the expected price of More Return instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of More Return Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out More Return Backtesting, More Return Valuation, More Return Correlation, More Return Hype Analysis, More Return Volatility, More Return History as well as More Return Performance.
  
Please specify More Return's target price for which you would like More Return odds to be computed.

More Return Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0545

The tendency of More Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.05  after 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.05 
about 35.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of More Return to stay under  0.05  after 90 days from now is about 35.94 (This More Return Public probability density function shows the probability of More Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of More Return Public price to stay between its current price of  0.03  and  0.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon More Return has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, More Return average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding More Return Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally More Return Public has an alpha of 0.3469, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   More Return Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for More Return

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as More Return Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0351.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0351.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.01128.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.060.08
Details

More Return Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. More Return is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the More Return's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold More Return Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of More Return within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

More Return Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of More Return for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for More Return Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
More Return Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
More Return Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
More Return Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
More Return Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
More Return generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

More Return Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of More Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential More Return's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. More Return's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.5 B

More Return Technical Analysis

More Return's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. More Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of More Return Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing More Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

More Return Predictive Forecast Models

More Return's time-series forecasting models is one of many More Return's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary More Return's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about More Return Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about More Return for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for More Return Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
More Return Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
More Return Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
More Return Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
More Return Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
More Return generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in More Stock

More Return financial ratios help investors to determine whether More Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in More with respect to the benefits of owning More Return security.