Metrics Income (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.12

MOT Stock   2.16  0.02  0.92%   
Metrics Income's future price is the expected price of Metrics Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Metrics Income Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Metrics Income Backtesting, Metrics Income Valuation, Metrics Income Correlation, Metrics Income Hype Analysis, Metrics Income Volatility, Metrics Income History as well as Metrics Income Performance.
  
Please specify Metrics Income's target price for which you would like Metrics Income odds to be computed.

Metrics Income Target Price Odds to finish over 2.12

The tendency of Metrics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2.12  in 90 days
 2.16 90 days 2.12 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metrics Income to stay above  2.12  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Metrics Income Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Metrics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metrics Income Oppor price to stay between  2.12  and its current price of 2.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metrics Income Opportunities has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Metrics Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Metrics Income Opportunities is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Metrics Income Opportunities has an alpha of 0.0094, implying that it can generate a 0.009401 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Metrics Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metrics Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metrics Income Oppor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.752.162.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.642.052.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.752.162.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.162.162.16
Details

Metrics Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metrics Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metrics Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metrics Income Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metrics Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Metrics Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metrics Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metrics Income Oppor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metrics Income Oppor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Metrics Income Opportunities has accumulated about 1.84 M in cash with (85.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Metrics Master Income Trust A Diversified Fixed Income Opportunity - TipRanks

Metrics Income Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metrics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metrics Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metrics Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding277.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 M

Metrics Income Technical Analysis

Metrics Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metrics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metrics Income Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metrics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Metrics Income Predictive Forecast Models

Metrics Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metrics Income's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metrics Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Metrics Income Oppor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metrics Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metrics Income Oppor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metrics Income Oppor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Metrics Income Opportunities has accumulated about 1.84 M in cash with (85.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Metrics Master Income Trust A Diversified Fixed Income Opportunity - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Metrics Stock Analysis

When running Metrics Income's price analysis, check to measure Metrics Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metrics Income is operating at the current time. Most of Metrics Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metrics Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metrics Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metrics Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.