Mapletree Commercial Trust Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.34
| MPCMF Stock | USD 0.91 0.09 9.00% |
Mapletree |
Mapletree Commercial Target Price Odds to finish over 4.34
The tendency of Mapletree Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.34 or more in 90 days |
| 0.91 | 90 days | 4.34 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mapletree Commercial to move over $ 4.34 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Mapletree Commercial Trust probability density function shows the probability of Mapletree Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mapletree Commercial price to stay between its current price of $ 0.91 and $ 4.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mapletree Commercial Trust has a beta of -0.5. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mapletree Commercial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mapletree Commercial Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mapletree Commercial Trust has an alpha of 0.1084, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mapletree Commercial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mapletree Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mapletree Commercial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mapletree Commercial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mapletree Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mapletree Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mapletree Commercial Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mapletree Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Mapletree Commercial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mapletree Commercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mapletree Commercial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mapletree Commercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mapletree Commercial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mapletree Commercial Trust has accumulated 2.54 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mapletree Commercial has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mapletree Commercial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mapletree Commercial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mapletree Commercial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mapletree to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mapletree Commercial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Mapletree Commercial shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Saul Centers declares 0.59 dividend |
Mapletree Commercial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mapletree Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mapletree Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mapletree Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B |
Mapletree Commercial Technical Analysis
Mapletree Commercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mapletree Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mapletree Commercial Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mapletree Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mapletree Commercial Predictive Forecast Models
Mapletree Commercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mapletree Commercial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mapletree Commercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mapletree Commercial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mapletree Commercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mapletree Commercial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mapletree Commercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mapletree Commercial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mapletree Commercial Trust has accumulated 2.54 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mapletree Commercial has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mapletree Commercial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mapletree Commercial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mapletree Commercial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mapletree to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mapletree Commercial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Mapletree Commercial shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Saul Centers declares 0.59 dividend |
Other Information on Investing in Mapletree Pink Sheet
Mapletree Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mapletree Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mapletree with respect to the benefits of owning Mapletree Commercial security.