MALAWI PROPERTY (Malawi) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.87
| MPICO Stock | 14.82 0.01 0.07% |
MALAWI |
MALAWI PROPERTY Target Price Odds to finish over 14.87
The tendency of MALAWI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 14.87 or more in 90 days |
| 14.82 | 90 days | 14.87 | about 73.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MALAWI PROPERTY to move over 14.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 73.27 (This MALAWI PROPERTY INVESTMENT probability density function shows the probability of MALAWI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MALAWI PROPERTY INVE price to stay between its current price of 14.82 and 14.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MALAWI PROPERTY has a beta of 0.009. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MALAWI PROPERTY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MALAWI PROPERTY INVESTMENT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MALAWI PROPERTY INVESTMENT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MALAWI PROPERTY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MALAWI PROPERTY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MALAWI PROPERTY INVE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MALAWI PROPERTY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MALAWI PROPERTY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MALAWI PROPERTY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MALAWI PROPERTY INVESTMENT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MALAWI PROPERTY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -3.33 |
MALAWI PROPERTY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MALAWI PROPERTY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MALAWI PROPERTY INVE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MALAWI PROPERTY INVE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MALAWI PROPERTY Technical Analysis
MALAWI PROPERTY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MALAWI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MALAWI PROPERTY INVESTMENT. In general, you should focus on analyzing MALAWI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MALAWI PROPERTY Predictive Forecast Models
MALAWI PROPERTY's time-series forecasting models is one of many MALAWI PROPERTY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MALAWI PROPERTY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MALAWI PROPERTY INVE
Checking the ongoing alerts about MALAWI PROPERTY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MALAWI PROPERTY INVE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MALAWI PROPERTY INVE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |