Meituan Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 37.84
| MPNGY Stock | USD 42.65 1.31 2.98% |
Meituan |
Meituan ADR Target Price Odds to finish below 37.84
The tendency of Meituan Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.84 or more in 90 days |
| 42.65 | 90 days | 37.84 | about 33.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meituan ADR to drop to $ 37.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 33.92 (This Meituan ADR probability density function shows the probability of Meituan Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meituan ADR price to stay between $ 37.84 and its current price of $42.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Meituan ADR has a beta of 0.65. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Meituan ADR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Meituan ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Meituan ADR has an alpha of 0.6823, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meituan ADR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meituan ADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meituan ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meituan ADR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meituan ADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meituan ADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meituan ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meituan ADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Meituan ADR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meituan ADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meituan ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meituan ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Meituan ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.47 B. | |
| Meituan ADR has accumulated about 107.54 B in cash with (4.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.78. |
Meituan ADR Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meituan Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meituan ADR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meituan ADR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.8 B |
Meituan ADR Technical Analysis
Meituan ADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meituan Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meituan ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meituan Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meituan ADR Predictive Forecast Models
Meituan ADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meituan ADR's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meituan ADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meituan ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meituan ADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meituan ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meituan ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Meituan ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.47 B. | |
| Meituan ADR has accumulated about 107.54 B in cash with (4.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.78. |
Additional Tools for Meituan Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Meituan ADR's price analysis, check to measure Meituan ADR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meituan ADR is operating at the current time. Most of Meituan ADR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meituan ADR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meituan ADR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meituan ADR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.