Mercato Partners Acquisition Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.68

MPRAUDelisted Stock  USD 10.01  0.00  0.00%   
Mercato Partners' future price is the expected price of Mercato Partners instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mercato Partners Acquisition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Mercato Partners' target price for which you would like Mercato Partners odds to be computed.

Mercato Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 8.68

The tendency of Mercato Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.68  or more in 90 days
 10.01 90 days 8.68 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mercato Partners to drop to $ 8.68  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mercato Partners Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Mercato Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mercato Partners Acq price to stay between $ 8.68  and its current price of $10.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mercato Partners has a beta of 0.029. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mercato Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mercato Partners Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mercato Partners Acquisition has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mercato Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mercato Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercato Partners Acq. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0110.0110.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.688.6811.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.909.909.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.8410.5411.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mercato Partners. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mercato Partners' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mercato Partners' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mercato Partners Acq.

Mercato Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mercato Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mercato Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mercato Partners Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mercato Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Mercato Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mercato Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mercato Partners Acq can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mercato Partners Acq is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Mercato Partners Acq has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Mercato Partners Acquisition has accumulated 740 K in total debt. Mercato Partners Acq has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Mercato Partners' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Mercato Partners Acquisition has accumulated about 70.58 K in cash with (1.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Mercato Partners Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mercato Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mercato Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercato Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53 K

Mercato Partners Technical Analysis

Mercato Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mercato Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mercato Partners Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mercato Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mercato Partners Predictive Forecast Models

Mercato Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mercato Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mercato Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mercato Partners Acq

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mercato Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mercato Partners Acq help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mercato Partners Acq is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Mercato Partners Acq has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Mercato Partners Acquisition has accumulated 740 K in total debt. Mercato Partners Acq has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Mercato Partners' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Mercato Partners Acquisition has accumulated about 70.58 K in cash with (1.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Other Consideration for investing in Mercato Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Mercato Partners Acq check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mercato Partners' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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