Mfs Limited Maturity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 5.86

MQLJX Fund  USD 5.87  0.01  0.17%   
Mfs Limited's future price is the expected price of Mfs Limited instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mfs Limited Maturity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mfs Limited Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mfs Limited Correlation, Mfs Limited Hype Analysis, Mfs Limited Volatility, Mfs Limited History as well as Mfs Limited Performance.
  
Please specify Mfs Limited's target price for which you would like Mfs Limited odds to be computed.

Mfs Limited Target Price Odds to finish over 5.86

The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 5.86  in 90 days
 5.87 90 days 5.86 
about 76.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs Limited to stay above $ 5.86  in 90 days from now is about 76.73 (This Mfs Limited Maturity probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mfs Limited Maturity price to stay between $ 5.86  and its current price of $5.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Limited has a beta of 0.0086. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mfs Limited average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mfs Limited Maturity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mfs Limited Maturity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mfs Limited Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mfs Limited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Limited Maturity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.745.876.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.275.406.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.735.865.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.855.865.87
Details

Mfs Limited Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs Limited is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs Limited's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs Limited Maturity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs Limited within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0006
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.95

Mfs Limited Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs Limited for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs Limited Maturity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 19.0% of its assets in bonds

Mfs Limited Technical Analysis

Mfs Limited's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mfs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mfs Limited Maturity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mfs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mfs Limited Predictive Forecast Models

Mfs Limited's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mfs Limited's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mfs Limited's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mfs Limited Maturity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs Limited for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mfs Limited Maturity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 19.0% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Limited financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Limited security.
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