Melcor Real Estate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.46
| MR-UN Stock | CAD 5.30 0.45 9.28% |
Melcor |
Melcor Real Target Price Odds to finish below 4.46
The tendency of Melcor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 4.46 or more in 90 days |
| 5.30 | 90 days | 4.46 | about 48.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Melcor Real to drop to C$ 4.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.8 (This Melcor Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Melcor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Melcor Real Estate price to stay between C$ 4.46 and its current price of C$5.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Melcor Real has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Melcor Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Melcor Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Melcor Real Estate has an alpha of 0.9194, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Melcor Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Melcor Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Melcor Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Melcor Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Melcor Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Melcor Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Melcor Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Melcor Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Melcor Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Melcor Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Melcor Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Melcor Real Estate is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Melcor Real Estate appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Melcor Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Melcor Real Estate has accumulated 418.64 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 205.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Melcor Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Melcor Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Melcor Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Melcor Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Melcor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Melcor Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 29.0% of Melcor Real outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Melcor REIT says Glass Lewis recommends unitholders vote for arrangement - TipRanks |
Melcor Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Melcor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Melcor Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Melcor Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Melcor Real Technical Analysis
Melcor Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Melcor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Melcor Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Melcor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Melcor Real Predictive Forecast Models
Melcor Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Melcor Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Melcor Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Melcor Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Melcor Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Melcor Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Melcor Real Estate is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Melcor Real Estate appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Melcor Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Melcor Real Estate has accumulated 418.64 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 205.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Melcor Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Melcor Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Melcor Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Melcor Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Melcor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Melcor Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 29.0% of Melcor Real outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Melcor REIT says Glass Lewis recommends unitholders vote for arrangement - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Melcor Stock Analysis
When running Melcor Real's price analysis, check to measure Melcor Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Melcor Real is operating at the current time. Most of Melcor Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Melcor Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Melcor Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Melcor Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.