Meridian Equity Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.06
| MRCEX Fund | USD 14.13 0.01 0.07% |
Meridian |
Meridian Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 14.06
The tendency of Meridian Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.06 or more in 90 days |
| 14.13 | 90 days | 14.06 | about 85.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meridian Equity to drop to $ 14.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.86 (This Meridian Equity Income probability density function shows the probability of Meridian Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meridian Equity Income price to stay between $ 14.06 and its current price of $14.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Meridian Equity Income has a beta of -0.0231. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Meridian Equity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Meridian Equity Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Meridian Equity Income has an alpha of 0.0631, implying that it can generate a 0.0631 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meridian Equity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meridian Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meridian Equity Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meridian Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Meridian Equity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meridian Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meridian Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meridian Equity Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meridian Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Meridian Equity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meridian Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meridian Equity Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Meridian Equity Technical Analysis
Meridian Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meridian Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meridian Equity Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meridian Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meridian Equity Predictive Forecast Models
Meridian Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meridian Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meridian Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meridian Equity Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meridian Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meridian Equity Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Meridian Mutual Fund
Meridian Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meridian Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meridian with respect to the benefits of owning Meridian Equity security.
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