MIRAMAR HOTEL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.09
| MRL Stock | EUR 1.12 0.01 0.88% |
MIRAMAR |
MIRAMAR HOTEL Target Price Odds to finish over 1.09
The tendency of MIRAMAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 1.09 in 90 days |
| 1.12 | 90 days | 1.09 | about 35.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MIRAMAR HOTEL to stay above € 1.09 in 90 days from now is about 35.81 (This MIRAMAR HOTEL INV probability density function shows the probability of MIRAMAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MIRAMAR HOTEL INV price to stay between € 1.09 and its current price of €1.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MIRAMAR HOTEL INV has a beta of -0.47. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MIRAMAR HOTEL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MIRAMAR HOTEL INV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MIRAMAR HOTEL INV has an alpha of 0.4793, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MIRAMAR HOTEL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MIRAMAR HOTEL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MIRAMAR HOTEL INV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MIRAMAR HOTEL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MIRAMAR HOTEL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MIRAMAR HOTEL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MIRAMAR HOTEL INV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MIRAMAR HOTEL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
MIRAMAR HOTEL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MIRAMAR HOTEL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MIRAMAR HOTEL INV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MIRAMAR HOTEL INV may become a speculative penny stock | |
| MIRAMAR HOTEL INV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
MIRAMAR HOTEL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MIRAMAR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MIRAMAR HOTEL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MIRAMAR HOTEL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 691 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3938 | |
| Short Term Investments | 62.4 M |
MIRAMAR HOTEL Technical Analysis
MIRAMAR HOTEL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MIRAMAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MIRAMAR HOTEL INV. In general, you should focus on analyzing MIRAMAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MIRAMAR HOTEL Predictive Forecast Models
MIRAMAR HOTEL's time-series forecasting models is one of many MIRAMAR HOTEL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MIRAMAR HOTEL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MIRAMAR HOTEL INV
Checking the ongoing alerts about MIRAMAR HOTEL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MIRAMAR HOTEL INV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MIRAMAR HOTEL INV may become a speculative penny stock | |
| MIRAMAR HOTEL INV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MIRAMAR Stock
MIRAMAR HOTEL financial ratios help investors to determine whether MIRAMAR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MIRAMAR with respect to the benefits of owning MIRAMAR HOTEL security.