Marinus Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00
| MRNS Stock | USD 0.33 0.01 3.13% |
Marinus |
Marinus Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00
The tendency of Marinus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.33 | 90 days | 0.00 | roughly 2.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marinus Pharmaceuticals to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.64 (This Marinus Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of Marinus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marinus Pharmaceuticals price to stay between $ 0.00 and its current price of $0.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.38 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Marinus Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. Additionally Marinus Pharmaceuticals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Marinus Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marinus Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marinus Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marinus Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marinus Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marinus Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marinus Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marinus Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Marinus Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marinus Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marinus Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marinus Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (141.41 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (55.94 M). | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 168.25 M in cash with (118 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: US1.86 Thats What Analysts Think Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Is Worth After Its Latest Results |
Marinus Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marinus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marinus Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marinus Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150.3 M |
Marinus Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
Marinus Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marinus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marinus Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marinus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marinus Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Marinus Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Marinus Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marinus Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marinus Pharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marinus Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marinus Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (141.41 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (55.94 M). | |
| Marinus Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 168.25 M in cash with (118 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: US1.86 Thats What Analysts Think Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Is Worth After Its Latest Results |
Additional Tools for Marinus Stock Analysis
When running Marinus Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Marinus Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marinus Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Marinus Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marinus Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marinus Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marinus Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.