Mirasol Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.08
| MRZ Stock | CAD 0.42 0.01 2.44% |
Mirasol |
Mirasol Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 1.08
The tendency of Mirasol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 1.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.42 | 90 days | 1.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mirasol Resources to move over C$ 1.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Mirasol Resources probability density function shows the probability of Mirasol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mirasol Resources price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.42 and C$ 1.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mirasol Resources has a beta of 0.0457. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mirasol Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mirasol Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mirasol Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mirasol Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mirasol Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mirasol Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mirasol Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mirasol Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mirasol Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mirasol Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mirasol Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Mirasol Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mirasol Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mirasol Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mirasol Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mirasol Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mirasol Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Mirasol Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (8.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 496.7 K. | |
| Mirasol Resources has accumulated about 22.28 M in cash with (8.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ted Dixon - The Globe and Mail |
Mirasol Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mirasol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mirasol Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mirasol Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.7 M |
Mirasol Resources Technical Analysis
Mirasol Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mirasol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mirasol Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mirasol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mirasol Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Mirasol Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mirasol Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mirasol Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mirasol Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mirasol Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mirasol Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mirasol Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mirasol Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mirasol Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Mirasol Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (8.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 496.7 K. | |
| Mirasol Resources has accumulated about 22.28 M in cash with (8.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ted Dixon - The Globe and Mail |
Additional Tools for Mirasol Stock Analysis
When running Mirasol Resources' price analysis, check to measure Mirasol Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mirasol Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Mirasol Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mirasol Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mirasol Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mirasol Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.