Metro Systems (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.64
| MSC Stock | THB 7.95 0.05 0.62% |
Metro |
Metro Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 8.64
The tendency of Metro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 8.64 or more in 90 days |
| 7.95 | 90 days | 8.64 | about 24.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metro Systems to move over 8.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.51 (This Metro Systems probability density function shows the probability of Metro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metro Systems price to stay between its current price of 7.95 and 8.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metro Systems has a beta of -0.0898. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Metro Systems are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Metro Systems is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Metro Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Metro Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Metro Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metro Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Metro Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metro Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metro Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metro Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metro Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0057 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Metro Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metro Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metro Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metro Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Metro Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Metro Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metro Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metro Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 360 M |
Metro Systems Technical Analysis
Metro Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metro Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metro Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Metro Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Metro Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metro Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metro Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metro Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metro Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metro Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Metro Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Metro Stock
Metro Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metro with respect to the benefits of owning Metro Systems security.