Multi Spunindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 345.04
| MSJA Stock | 350.00 10.00 2.78% |
Multi |
Multi Spunindo Target Price Odds to finish below 345.04
The tendency of Multi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 345.04 or more in 90 days |
| 350.00 | 90 days | 345.04 | about 37.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi Spunindo to drop to 345.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.68 (This Multi Spunindo Jaya probability density function shows the probability of Multi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multi Spunindo Jaya price to stay between 345.04 and its current price of 350.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multi Spunindo has a beta of 0.0666. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Multi Spunindo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Multi Spunindo Jaya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Multi Spunindo Jaya has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Multi Spunindo Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Multi Spunindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Spunindo Jaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Multi Spunindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi Spunindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi Spunindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Spunindo Jaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi Spunindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 27.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Multi Spunindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi Spunindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Spunindo Jaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Multi Spunindo Jaya had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Multi Spunindo Technical Analysis
Multi Spunindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Spunindo Jaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Multi Spunindo Predictive Forecast Models
Multi Spunindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi Spunindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi Spunindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Multi Spunindo Jaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi Spunindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Spunindo Jaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Multi Spunindo Jaya had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |