Meshek Energy (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 282.42

MSKE Stock  ILA 223.00  9.20  4.30%   
Meshek Energy's future price is the expected price of Meshek Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Meshek Energy Renewable Energies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Meshek Energy Backtesting, Meshek Energy Valuation, Meshek Energy Correlation, Meshek Energy Hype Analysis, Meshek Energy Volatility, Meshek Energy History as well as Meshek Energy Performance.
  
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Meshek Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 282.42

The tendency of Meshek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  282.42  or more in 90 days
 223.00 90 days 282.42 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meshek Energy to move over  282.42  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Meshek Energy Renewable Energies probability density function shows the probability of Meshek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meshek Energy Renewable price to stay between its current price of  223.00  and  282.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Meshek Energy Renewable Energies has a beta of -0.34. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Meshek Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Meshek Energy Renewable Energies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Meshek Energy Renewable Energies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Meshek Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Meshek Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meshek Energy Renewable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
218.20223.00227.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
180.06184.86245.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
214.72219.52224.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
177.07204.52231.97
Details

Meshek Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meshek Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meshek Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meshek Energy Renewable Energies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meshek Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
34.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Meshek Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meshek Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meshek Energy Renewable can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meshek Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Meshek Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 8.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.74 M.
Meshek Energy Renewable Energies has accumulated about 69.85 M in cash with (1.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.52.
Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Meshek Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meshek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meshek Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meshek Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding159.4 M

Meshek Energy Technical Analysis

Meshek Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meshek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meshek Energy Renewable Energies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meshek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Meshek Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Meshek Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meshek Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meshek Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Meshek Energy Renewable

Checking the ongoing alerts about Meshek Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meshek Energy Renewable help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meshek Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Meshek Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 8.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.74 M.
Meshek Energy Renewable Energies has accumulated about 69.85 M in cash with (1.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.52.
Roughly 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Meshek Stock

Meshek Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meshek Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meshek with respect to the benefits of owning Meshek Energy security.