Matthews Asia Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.78
| MSMLX Fund | USD 24.73 0.05 0.20% |
Matthews |
Matthews Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 25.78
The tendency of Matthews Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.78 or more in 90 days |
| 24.73 | 90 days | 25.78 | about 56.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matthews Asia to move over $ 25.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 56.15 (This Matthews Asia Small probability density function shows the probability of Matthews Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matthews Asia Small price to stay between its current price of $ 24.73 and $ 25.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Matthews Asia has a beta of 0.52. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Matthews Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Matthews Asia Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Matthews Asia Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Matthews Asia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Matthews Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthews Asia Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Matthews Asia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matthews Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matthews Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matthews Asia Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matthews Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Matthews Asia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matthews Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matthews Asia Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Matthews Asia Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Matthews Asia Small maintains about 5.01% of its assets in cash |
Matthews Asia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Matthews Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Matthews Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matthews Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Matthews Asia Technical Analysis
Matthews Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matthews Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matthews Asia Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matthews Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matthews Asia Predictive Forecast Models
Matthews Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matthews Asia's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matthews Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Matthews Asia Small
Checking the ongoing alerts about Matthews Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matthews Asia Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Matthews Asia Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Matthews Asia Small maintains about 5.01% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Matthews Mutual Fund
Matthews Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matthews Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matthews with respect to the benefits of owning Matthews Asia security.
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