Minco Silver Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.57
| MSV Stock | CAD 0.19 0.01 5.00% |
Minco |
Minco Silver Target Price Odds to finish over 13.57
The tendency of Minco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 13.57 or more in 90 days |
| 0.19 | 90 days | 13.57 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Minco Silver to move over C$ 13.57 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Minco Silver probability density function shows the probability of Minco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Minco Silver price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.19 and C$ 13.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Minco Silver has a beta of 0.64. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Minco Silver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Minco Silver will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Minco Silver has an alpha of 0.0862, implying that it can generate a 0.0862 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Minco Silver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Minco Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minco Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Minco Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Minco Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Minco Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Minco Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Minco Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Minco Silver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Minco Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Minco Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Minco Silver has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Minco Silver had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (729.45 K). | |
| Minco Silver has accumulated about 4.12 M in cash with (1.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Minco Silver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Minco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Minco Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Minco Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.6 M |
Minco Silver Technical Analysis
Minco Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Minco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Minco Silver. In general, you should focus on analyzing Minco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Minco Silver Predictive Forecast Models
Minco Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Minco Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Minco Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Minco Silver
Checking the ongoing alerts about Minco Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Minco Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Minco Silver has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Minco Silver had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (729.45 K). | |
| Minco Silver has accumulated about 4.12 M in cash with (1.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Minco Stock
Minco Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether Minco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Minco with respect to the benefits of owning Minco Silver security.