Invesco American Value Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.82
| MSVCXDelisted Fund | USD 19.50 0.00 0.00% |
Invesco |
Invesco American Target Price Odds to finish below 20.82
The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 20.82 after 90 days |
| 19.50 | 90 days | 20.82 | about 65.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco American to stay under $ 20.82 after 90 days from now is about 65.47 (This Invesco American Value probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco American Value price to stay between its current price of $ 19.50 and $ 20.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco American has a beta of 0.91. This indicates Invesco American Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco American is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco American Value has an alpha of 0.1268, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invesco American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco American Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco American Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Invesco American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco American Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Invesco American is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Invesco American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Invesco American Value generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains 96.17% of its assets in stocks |
Invesco American Technical Analysis
Invesco American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco American Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco American Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco American's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco American Value
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco American Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Invesco American is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Invesco American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Invesco American Value generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains 96.17% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Other Consideration for investing in Invesco Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Invesco American Value check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Invesco American's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets |