Matador Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.28
| MTDR Stock | USD 59.56 0.71 1.21% |
Matador |
Matador Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 46.28
The tendency of Matador Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 46.28 or more in 90 days |
| 59.56 | 90 days | 46.28 | about 1.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matador Resources to drop to $ 46.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.89 (This Matador Resources probability density function shows the probability of Matador Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matador Resources price to stay between $ 46.28 and its current price of $59.56 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Matador Resources has a beta of 1.0. This indicates Matador Resources market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Matador Resources is expected to follow. Additionally Matador Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Matador Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Matador Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matador Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matador Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matador Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matador Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matador Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matador Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matador Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Matador Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matador Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matador Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Matador Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Fewer Rigs in Operation Are EOG MTDR Still Worth Watching |
Matador Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Matador Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Matador Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matador Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.7 M |
Matador Resources Technical Analysis
Matador Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matador Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matador Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matador Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matador Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Matador Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Matador Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matador Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Matador Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Matador Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matador Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Matador Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Fewer Rigs in Operation Are EOG MTDR Still Worth Watching |
Additional Tools for Matador Stock Analysis
When running Matador Resources' price analysis, check to measure Matador Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matador Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Matador Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matador Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matador Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matador Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.