Magyar Telekom (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,255
| MTEL Stock | 1,240 6.00 0.48% |
Magyar |
Magyar Telekom Target Price Odds to finish below 1,255
The tendency of Magyar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,240 | 90 days | 1,240 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Magyar Telekom to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Magyar Telekom PLC probability density function shows the probability of Magyar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Magyar Telekom has a beta of 0.0608. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Magyar Telekom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Magyar Telekom PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Magyar Telekom PLC has an alpha of 0.2854, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Magyar Telekom Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Magyar Telekom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magyar Telekom PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Magyar Telekom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Magyar Telekom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Magyar Telekom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Magyar Telekom PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Magyar Telekom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 78.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Magyar Telekom Technical Analysis
Magyar Telekom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Magyar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Magyar Telekom PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Magyar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Magyar Telekom Predictive Forecast Models
Magyar Telekom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Magyar Telekom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Magyar Telekom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Magyar Telekom in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Magyar Telekom's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Magyar Telekom options trading.
Additional Tools for Magyar Stock Analysis
When running Magyar Telekom's price analysis, check to measure Magyar Telekom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magyar Telekom is operating at the current time. Most of Magyar Telekom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magyar Telekom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magyar Telekom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magyar Telekom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.