Migdal Mutual (Israel) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 3490.0

MTF-F26 Etf  ILA 3,407  19.00  0.55%   
Migdal Mutual's future price is the expected price of Migdal Mutual instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Migdal Mutual Funds performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Migdal Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Migdal Mutual Correlation, Migdal Mutual Hype Analysis, Migdal Mutual Volatility, Migdal Mutual History as well as Migdal Mutual Performance.
  
Please specify Migdal Mutual's target price for which you would like Migdal Mutual odds to be computed.

Migdal Mutual Target Price Odds to finish over 3490.0

The tendency of Migdal Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3,490  or more in 90 days
 3,407 90 days 3,490 
about 23.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Migdal Mutual to move over  3,490  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.05 (This Migdal Mutual Funds probability density function shows the probability of Migdal Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Migdal Mutual Funds price to stay between its current price of  3,407  and  3,490  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Migdal Mutual Funds has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Migdal Mutual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Migdal Mutual Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Migdal Mutual Funds has an alpha of 0.1202, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Migdal Mutual Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Migdal Mutual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Migdal Mutual Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,4063,4073,408
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,1423,1433,748
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,3893,3903,390
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,3843,4063,428
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Migdal Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Migdal Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Migdal Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Migdal Mutual Funds.

Migdal Mutual Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Migdal Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Migdal Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Migdal Mutual Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Migdal Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
83.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Migdal Mutual Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Migdal Mutual for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Migdal Mutual Funds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Migdal Mutual Funds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Migdal Mutual Technical Analysis

Migdal Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Migdal Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Migdal Mutual Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing Migdal Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Migdal Mutual Predictive Forecast Models

Migdal Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many Migdal Mutual's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Migdal Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Migdal Mutual Funds

Checking the ongoing alerts about Migdal Mutual for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Migdal Mutual Funds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Migdal Mutual Funds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Migdal Etf

Migdal Mutual financial ratios help investors to determine whether Migdal Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Migdal with respect to the benefits of owning Migdal Mutual security.