Motus Holdings (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13,552

MTH Stock   12,320  360.00  2.84%   
Motus Holdings' future price is the expected price of Motus Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Motus Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Motus Holdings Backtesting, Motus Holdings Valuation, Motus Holdings Correlation, Motus Holdings Hype Analysis, Motus Holdings Volatility, Motus Holdings History as well as Motus Holdings Performance.
  
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Motus Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 13,552

The tendency of Motus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12,320 90 days 12,320 
roughly 2.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Motus Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.78 (This Motus Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Motus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Motus Holdings has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Motus Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Motus Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Motus Holdings has an alpha of 0.1907, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Motus Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Motus Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Motus Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12,31912,32012,321
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,20210,20313,552
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12,80012,80212,803
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11,33612,11112,887
Details

Motus Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Motus Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Motus Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Motus Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Motus Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
316.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Motus Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Motus Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Motus Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Motus Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Motus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Motus Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Motus Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding189 M
Cash And Short Term Investments994 M

Motus Holdings Technical Analysis

Motus Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Motus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Motus Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Motus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Motus Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Motus Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Motus Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Motus Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Motus Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Motus Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Motus Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Motus Stock

Motus Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Motus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Motus with respect to the benefits of owning Motus Holdings security.