Mantle Minerals (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.001447
| MTL Stock | 0 0.0005 50.00% |
Mantle |
Mantle Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.001447
The tendency of Mantle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | about 13.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mantle Minerals to drop to 0 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.91 (This Mantle Minerals Limited probability density function shows the probability of Mantle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mantle Minerals price to stay between 0 and its current price of 0.0015 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mantle Minerals Limited has a beta of -4.1. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Mantle Minerals Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Mantle Minerals is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Mantle Minerals Limited has an alpha of 2.1547, implying that it can generate a 2.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mantle Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mantle Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mantle Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mantle Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mantle Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mantle Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mantle Minerals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mantle Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -4.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0003 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Mantle Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mantle Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mantle Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mantle Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mantle Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mantle Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mantle Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.59 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.28 K. | |
| Mantle Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mantle Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mantle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mantle Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mantle Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 777 K |
Mantle Minerals Technical Analysis
Mantle Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mantle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mantle Minerals Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mantle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mantle Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Mantle Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mantle Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mantle Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mantle Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mantle Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mantle Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mantle Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mantle Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mantle Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mantle Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.59 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.28 K. | |
| Mantle Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Mantle Stock Analysis
When running Mantle Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Mantle Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mantle Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Mantle Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mantle Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mantle Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mantle Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.