Mtn Group Ltd Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.0
| MTNOY Stock | USD 4.53 0.04 0.89% |
MTN |
MTN Group Target Price Odds to finish over 4.0
The tendency of MTN Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.00 in 90 days |
| 4.53 | 90 days | 4.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MTN Group to stay above $ 4.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This MTN Group Ltd probability density function shows the probability of MTN Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MTN Group price to stay between $ 4.00 and its current price of $4.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MTN Group Ltd has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MTN Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MTN Group Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MTN Group Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MTN Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MTN Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MTN Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MTN Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MTN Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MTN Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MTN Group Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MTN Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
MTN Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MTN Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MTN Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MTN Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MTN Group Ltd has accumulated 65.48 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.24, which is about average as compared to similar companies. MTN Group has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MTN Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MTN Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MTN Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MTN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MTN Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
MTN Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MTN Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MTN Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MTN Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.7 B |
MTN Group Technical Analysis
MTN Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MTN Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MTN Group Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing MTN Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MTN Group Predictive Forecast Models
MTN Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many MTN Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MTN Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MTN Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about MTN Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MTN Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MTN Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MTN Group Ltd has accumulated 65.48 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.24, which is about average as compared to similar companies. MTN Group has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MTN Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MTN Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MTN Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MTN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MTN Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for MTN Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MTN Group's price analysis, check to measure MTN Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MTN Group is operating at the current time. Most of MTN Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MTN Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MTN Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MTN Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.