Meta Epsi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.44
| MTPS Stock | IDR 14.00 1.00 7.69% |
Meta |
Meta Epsi Target Price Odds to finish below 9.44
The tendency of Meta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.44 or more in 90 days |
| 14.00 | 90 days | 9.44 | roughly 2.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meta Epsi to drop to 9.44 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.25 (This Meta Epsi Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Meta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meta Epsi Tbk price to stay between 9.44 and its current price of 14.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Meta Epsi Tbk has a beta of -0.43. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Meta Epsi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Meta Epsi Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Meta Epsi Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Meta Epsi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meta Epsi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meta Epsi Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meta Epsi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meta Epsi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meta Epsi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meta Epsi Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meta Epsi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Meta Epsi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meta Epsi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meta Epsi Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meta Epsi Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Meta Epsi Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Meta Epsi Tbk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 54.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (231.61 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (213.19 B). | |
| Meta Epsi Tbk has accumulated about 6.17 B in cash with (246.07 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.96. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Meta Epsi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meta Epsi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meta Epsi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 B |
Meta Epsi Technical Analysis
Meta Epsi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meta Epsi Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meta Epsi Predictive Forecast Models
Meta Epsi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meta Epsi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meta Epsi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meta Epsi Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meta Epsi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meta Epsi Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meta Epsi Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Meta Epsi Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Meta Epsi Tbk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 54.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (231.61 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (213.19 B). | |
| Meta Epsi Tbk has accumulated about 6.17 B in cash with (246.07 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.96. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Meta Stock
Meta Epsi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meta with respect to the benefits of owning Meta Epsi security.