Malacca Trust (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 159.45
| MTWI Stock | IDR 160.00 4.00 2.56% |
Malacca |
Malacca Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 159.45
The tendency of Malacca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 159.45 or more in 90 days |
| 160.00 | 90 days | 159.45 | about 46.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Malacca Trust to drop to 159.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.07 (This Malacca Trust Wuwungan probability density function shows the probability of Malacca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Malacca Trust Wuwungan price to stay between 159.45 and its current price of 160.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Malacca Trust Wuwungan has a beta of -0.68. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Malacca Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Malacca Trust Wuwungan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Malacca Trust Wuwungan has an alpha of 0.0878, implying that it can generate a 0.0878 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Malacca Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Malacca Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Malacca Trust Wuwungan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Malacca Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Malacca Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Malacca Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Malacca Trust Wuwungan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Malacca Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Malacca Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Malacca Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Malacca Trust Wuwungan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Malacca Trust had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Malacca Trust Wuwungan has accumulated about 119.76 B in cash with (26.71 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 78.49. | |
| Roughly 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Malacca Trust Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Malacca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Malacca Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Malacca Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Malacca Trust Technical Analysis
Malacca Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Malacca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Malacca Trust Wuwungan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Malacca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Malacca Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Malacca Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Malacca Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Malacca Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Malacca Trust Wuwungan
Checking the ongoing alerts about Malacca Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Malacca Trust Wuwungan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Malacca Trust had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Malacca Trust Wuwungan has accumulated about 119.76 B in cash with (26.71 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 78.49. | |
| Roughly 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Malacca Stock
Malacca Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Malacca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Malacca with respect to the benefits of owning Malacca Trust security.