Murchison Minerals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.009051
| MURMF Stock | USD 0.01 0 14.05% |
Murchison |
Murchison Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.009051
The tendency of Murchison Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | roughly 2.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Murchison Minerals to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.49 (This Murchison Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Murchison Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Murchison Minerals price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.0104 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Murchison Minerals has a beta of -2.34. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Murchison Minerals are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Murchison Minerals is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Murchison Minerals has an alpha of 0.9922, implying that it can generate a 0.99 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Murchison Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Murchison Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Murchison Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Murchison Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Murchison Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Murchison Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Murchison Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Murchison Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Murchison Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Murchison Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Murchison Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Murchison Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Murchison Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Murchison Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Murchison Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Murchison Minerals has accumulated about 7.47 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Murchison Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Murchison Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Murchison Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Murchison Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.6 M |
Murchison Minerals Technical Analysis
Murchison Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Murchison Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Murchison Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Murchison Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Murchison Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Murchison Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Murchison Minerals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Murchison Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Murchison Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Murchison Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Murchison Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Murchison Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Murchison Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Murchison Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Murchison Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Murchison Minerals has accumulated about 7.47 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Murchison Pink Sheet
Murchison Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Murchison Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Murchison with respect to the benefits of owning Murchison Minerals security.