Muthoot Finance (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1623.66
| MUTHOOTFIN | 1,917 5.10 0.27% |
Muthoot |
Muthoot Finance Target Price Odds to finish below 1623.66
The tendency of Muthoot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,624 or more in 90 days |
| 1,917 | 90 days | 1,624 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Muthoot Finance to drop to 1,624 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Muthoot Finance Limited probability density function shows the probability of Muthoot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Muthoot Finance price to stay between 1,624 and its current price of 1917.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Muthoot Finance has a beta of 0.0824. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Muthoot Finance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Muthoot Finance Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Muthoot Finance Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Muthoot Finance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Muthoot Finance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Muthoot Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Muthoot Finance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Muthoot Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Muthoot Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Muthoot Finance Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Muthoot Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 62.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Muthoot Finance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Muthoot Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Muthoot Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Muthoot Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Muthoot Finance Ltd up for five straight sessions - Business Standard |
Muthoot Finance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Muthoot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Muthoot Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Muthoot Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 401.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.4 B |
Muthoot Finance Technical Analysis
Muthoot Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Muthoot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Muthoot Finance Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Muthoot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Muthoot Finance Predictive Forecast Models
Muthoot Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Muthoot Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Muthoot Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Muthoot Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Muthoot Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Muthoot Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Muthoot Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Muthoot Finance Ltd up for five straight sessions - Business Standard |
Additional Tools for Muthoot Stock Analysis
When running Muthoot Finance's price analysis, check to measure Muthoot Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Muthoot Finance is operating at the current time. Most of Muthoot Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Muthoot Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Muthoot Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Muthoot Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.