Marvel Gold (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0111
MVL Stock | 0.01 0.0005 5.26% |
Marvel |
Marvel Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0111
The tendency of Marvel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.01 or more in 90 days |
0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 31.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marvel Gold to move over 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.83 (This Marvel Gold probability density function shows the probability of Marvel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marvel Gold price to stay between its current price of 0.01 and 0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marvel Gold has a beta of -0.0107. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marvel Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marvel Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marvel Gold has an alpha of 0.5775, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marvel Gold Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Marvel Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marvel Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marvel Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marvel Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marvel Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marvel Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marvel Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Marvel Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marvel Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marvel Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Marvel Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Marvel Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
The company reported the revenue of 17.71 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 800.57 K. | |
Marvel Gold generates negative cash flow from operations | |
About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Marvel Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marvel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marvel Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marvel Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 863.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Marvel Gold Technical Analysis
Marvel Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marvel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marvel Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marvel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marvel Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Marvel Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marvel Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marvel Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marvel Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marvel Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marvel Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marvel Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Marvel Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
The company reported the revenue of 17.71 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 800.57 K. | |
Marvel Gold generates negative cash flow from operations | |
About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Marvel Stock Analysis
When running Marvel Gold's price analysis, check to measure Marvel Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marvel Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Marvel Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marvel Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marvel Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marvel Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.