Etracs Monthly Pay Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 15.15
| MVRL Etf | USD 16.76 0.14 0.84% |
ETRACS |
ETRACS Monthly Target Price Odds to finish below 15.15
The tendency of ETRACS Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.15 or more in 90 days |
| 16.76 | 90 days | 15.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ETRACS Monthly to drop to $ 15.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ETRACS Monthly Pay probability density function shows the probability of ETRACS Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ETRACS Monthly Pay price to stay between $ 15.15 and its current price of $16.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ETRACS Monthly has a beta of 0.64. This indicates as returns on the market go up, ETRACS Monthly average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ETRACS Monthly Pay will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ETRACS Monthly Pay has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ETRACS Monthly Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ETRACS Monthly
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETRACS Monthly Pay. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ETRACS Monthly Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ETRACS Monthly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ETRACS Monthly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ETRACS Monthly Pay, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ETRACS Monthly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
ETRACS Monthly Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ETRACS Monthly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ETRACS Monthly Pay can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ETRACS Monthly Pay generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN to Issue Dividend of 0.14 | |
| The fund created three year return of -16.0% | |
| ETRACS Monthly Pay maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
ETRACS Monthly Technical Analysis
ETRACS Monthly's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ETRACS Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ETRACS Monthly Pay. In general, you should focus on analyzing ETRACS Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ETRACS Monthly Predictive Forecast Models
ETRACS Monthly's time-series forecasting models is one of many ETRACS Monthly's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ETRACS Monthly's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ETRACS Monthly Pay
Checking the ongoing alerts about ETRACS Monthly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ETRACS Monthly Pay help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ETRACS Monthly Pay generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN to Issue Dividend of 0.14 | |
| The fund created three year return of -16.0% | |
| ETRACS Monthly Pay maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Check out ETRACS Monthly Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ETRACS Monthly Correlation, ETRACS Monthly Hype Analysis, ETRACS Monthly Volatility, ETRACS Monthly History as well as ETRACS Monthly Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of ETRACS Monthly Pay is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ETRACS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ETRACS Monthly's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ETRACS Monthly's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ETRACS Monthly's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ETRACS Monthly's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ETRACS Monthly's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ETRACS Monthly is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ETRACS Monthly's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.