Microvast Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0459
| MVSTW Stock | USD 0.08 0.01 9.08% |
Microvast |
Microvast Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0459
The tendency of Microvast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 0.08 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 77.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Microvast Holdings to drop to $ 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.21 (This Microvast Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Microvast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Microvast Holdings price to stay between $ 0.05 and its current price of $0.0751 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Microvast Holdings has a beta of -1.18. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Microvast Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Microvast Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Microvast Holdings has an alpha of 3.9903, implying that it can generate a 3.99 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Microvast Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Microvast Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Microvast Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Microvast Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Microvast Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Microvast Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Microvast Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Microvast Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Microvast Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Microvast Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Microvast Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Microvast Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Microvast Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Microvast Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Microvast Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Microvast Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 306.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (106.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Microvast Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Microvast Holdings, Inc.s market cap rose US199m last week individual investors who hold 41 percent profited and so did insiders - Yahoo Finance |
Microvast Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Microvast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Microvast Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Microvast Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.1 M |
Microvast Holdings Technical Analysis
Microvast Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Microvast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Microvast Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Microvast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Microvast Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Microvast Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Microvast Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Microvast Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Microvast Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Microvast Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Microvast Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Microvast Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Microvast Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Microvast Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Microvast Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 306.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (106.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Microvast Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Microvast Holdings, Inc.s market cap rose US199m last week individual investors who hold 41 percent profited and so did insiders - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Microvast Stock Analysis
When running Microvast Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Microvast Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microvast Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Microvast Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microvast Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microvast Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microvast Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.