Great West Aggressive Profile Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 6.94

MXAPX Fund  USD 6.06  0.01  0.16%   
Great-west Aggressive's future price is the expected price of Great-west Aggressive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Great West Aggressive Profile performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Great-west Aggressive Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Great-west Aggressive Correlation, Great-west Aggressive Hype Analysis, Great-west Aggressive Volatility, Great-west Aggressive History as well as Great-west Aggressive Performance.
  
Please specify Great-west Aggressive's target price for which you would like Great-west Aggressive odds to be computed.

Great-west Aggressive Target Price Odds to finish over 6.94

The tendency of Great-west Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.94  or more in 90 days
 6.06 90 days 6.94 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great-west Aggressive to move over $ 6.94  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Great West Aggressive Profile probability density function shows the probability of Great-west Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great West Aggressive price to stay between its current price of $ 6.06  and $ 6.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Great-west Aggressive has a beta of 0.0756. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Great-west Aggressive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Great West Aggressive Profile will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Great West Aggressive Profile has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Great-west Aggressive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Great-west Aggressive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great West Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.186.066.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.146.026.90
Details

Great-west Aggressive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great-west Aggressive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great-west Aggressive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great West Aggressive Profile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great-west Aggressive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Great-west Aggressive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great-west Aggressive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great West Aggressive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great-west Aggressive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.01% of its assets in stocks

Great-west Aggressive Technical Analysis

Great-west Aggressive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great-west Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great West Aggressive Profile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great-west Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Great-west Aggressive Predictive Forecast Models

Great-west Aggressive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great-west Aggressive's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great-west Aggressive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Great West Aggressive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Great-west Aggressive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great West Aggressive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great-west Aggressive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.01% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Aggressive security.
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