Great West Goldman Sachs Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.89

MXKJX Fund  USD 9.89  0.05  0.51%   
Great-west Goldman's future price is the expected price of Great-west Goldman instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Great West Goldman Sachs performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Great-west Goldman Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Great-west Goldman Correlation, Great-west Goldman Hype Analysis, Great-west Goldman Volatility, Great-west Goldman History as well as Great-west Goldman Performance.
  
Please specify Great-west Goldman's target price for which you would like Great-west Goldman odds to be computed.

Great-west Goldman Target Price Odds to finish over 9.89

The tendency of Great-west Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.89 90 days 9.89 
about 5.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great-west Goldman to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.48 (This Great West Goldman Sachs probability density function shows the probability of Great-west Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Great West Goldman Sachs has a beta of -0.0077. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Great-west Goldman are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Great West Goldman Sachs is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Great West Goldman Sachs has an alpha of 0.1033, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Great-west Goldman Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Great-west Goldman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great West Goldman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.149.8910.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.739.4810.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.079.8210.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.379.7310.09
Details

Great-west Goldman Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great-west Goldman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great-west Goldman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great West Goldman Sachs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great-west Goldman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0077
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0

Great-west Goldman Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great-west Goldman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great West Goldman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Great-west Goldman Technical Analysis

Great-west Goldman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great-west Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great West Goldman Sachs. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great-west Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Great-west Goldman Predictive Forecast Models

Great-west Goldman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great-west Goldman's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great-west Goldman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Great West Goldman

Checking the ongoing alerts about Great-west Goldman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great West Goldman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Goldman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Goldman security.
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