Mexus Gold Us Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 9.4E-5

MXSG Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Mexus Gold's future price is the expected price of Mexus Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mexus Gold Us performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mexus Gold Backtesting, Mexus Gold Valuation, Mexus Gold Correlation, Mexus Gold Hype Analysis, Mexus Gold Volatility, Mexus Gold History as well as Mexus Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Mexus Gold's target price for which you would like Mexus Gold odds to be computed.

Mexus Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 9.4E-5

The tendency of Mexus Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.000094  in 90 days
 0.0001 90 days 0.000094 
about 62.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mexus Gold to stay above $ 0.000094  in 90 days from now is about 62.84 (This Mexus Gold Us probability density function shows the probability of Mexus Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mexus Gold Us price to stay between $ 0.000094  and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mexus Gold Us has a beta of -18.62. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Mexus Gold Us are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Mexus Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Mexus Gold Us has an alpha of 22.1642, implying that it can generate a 22.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mexus Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mexus Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mexus Gold Us. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mexus Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00009350.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00009650.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000120.0006125.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Mexus Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mexus Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mexus Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mexus Gold Us, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mexus Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
22.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-18.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.0004
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Mexus Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mexus Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mexus Gold Us can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mexus Gold Us is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mexus Gold Us has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mexus Gold Us appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Mexus Gold Us has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Mexus Gold Us currently holds 1.62 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 197.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mexus Gold Us has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mexus Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mexus Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mexus Gold Us sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mexus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mexus Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (2.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mexus Gold Us currently holds about 24.03 K in cash with (681.26 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of Mexus Gold outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mexus Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mexus Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mexus Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mexus Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding261.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7174.00

Mexus Gold Technical Analysis

Mexus Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mexus Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mexus Gold Us. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mexus Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mexus Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Mexus Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mexus Gold's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mexus Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mexus Gold Us

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mexus Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mexus Gold Us help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mexus Gold Us is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mexus Gold Us has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mexus Gold Us appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Mexus Gold Us has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Mexus Gold Us currently holds 1.62 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 197.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mexus Gold Us has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mexus Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mexus Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mexus Gold Us sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mexus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mexus Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (2.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mexus Gold Us currently holds about 24.03 K in cash with (681.26 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of Mexus Gold outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Mexus Pink Sheet

Mexus Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mexus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mexus with respect to the benefits of owning Mexus Gold security.