Matthew 25 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 38.59

MXXVX Fund  USD 38.32  0.24  0.63%   
Matthew 25's future price is the expected price of Matthew 25 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Matthew 25 Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Matthew 25 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Matthew 25 Correlation, Matthew 25 Hype Analysis, Matthew 25 Volatility, Matthew 25 History as well as Matthew 25 Performance.
  
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Matthew 25 Target Price Odds to finish below 38.59

The tendency of Matthew Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 38.59  after 90 days
 38.32 90 days 38.59 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matthew 25 to stay under $ 38.59  after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Matthew 25 Fund probability density function shows the probability of Matthew Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matthew 25 Fund price to stay between its current price of $ 38.32  and $ 38.59  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.42 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Matthew 25 will likely underperform. Additionally Matthew 25 Fund has an alpha of 0.0386, implying that it can generate a 0.0386 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Matthew 25 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Matthew 25

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthew 25 Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matthew 25's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.9938.3239.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.1437.4738.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.2337.5538.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.1937.8038.41
Details

Matthew 25 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matthew 25 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matthew 25's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matthew 25 Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matthew 25 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Matthew 25 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matthew 25 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matthew 25 Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 94.18% of its assets in stocks

Matthew 25 Technical Analysis

Matthew 25's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matthew Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matthew 25 Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matthew Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Matthew 25 Predictive Forecast Models

Matthew 25's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matthew 25's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matthew 25's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Matthew 25 Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Matthew 25 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matthew 25 Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 94.18% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Matthew Mutual Fund

Matthew 25 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matthew Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matthew with respect to the benefits of owning Matthew 25 security.
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