Monetta Young Investor Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.17

MYIFX Fund  USD 19.33  0.12  0.62%   
Monetta Young's future price is the expected price of Monetta Young instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Monetta Young Investor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Monetta Young Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Monetta Young Correlation, Monetta Young Hype Analysis, Monetta Young Volatility, Monetta Young History as well as Monetta Young Performance.
  
Please specify Monetta Young's target price for which you would like Monetta Young odds to be computed.

Monetta Young Target Price Odds to finish over 19.17

The tendency of Monetta Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.17  in 90 days
 19.33 90 days 19.17 
about 91.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monetta Young to stay above $ 19.17  in 90 days from now is about 91.63 (This Monetta Young Investor probability density function shows the probability of Monetta Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monetta Young Investor price to stay between $ 19.17  and its current price of $19.33 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This indicates Monetta Young Investor market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Monetta Young is expected to follow. Additionally Monetta Young Investor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Monetta Young Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Monetta Young

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monetta Young Investor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.6519.3321.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.8719.5521.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.6419.3321.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.8619.1319.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Monetta Young. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Monetta Young's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Monetta Young's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Monetta Young Investor.

Monetta Young Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monetta Young is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monetta Young's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monetta Young Investor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monetta Young within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Monetta Young Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monetta Young for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monetta Young Investor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monetta Young generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.06% of its assets in stocks

Monetta Young Technical Analysis

Monetta Young's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monetta Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monetta Young Investor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monetta Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Monetta Young Predictive Forecast Models

Monetta Young's time-series forecasting models is one of many Monetta Young's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Monetta Young's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Monetta Young Investor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Monetta Young for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monetta Young Investor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monetta Young generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.06% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Monetta Mutual Fund

Monetta Young financial ratios help investors to determine whether Monetta Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Monetta with respect to the benefits of owning Monetta Young security.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences