Samindo Resources (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1677.31
| MYOH Stock | IDR 1,605 40.00 2.43% |
Samindo |
Samindo Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 1677.31
The tendency of Samindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,677 after 90 days |
| 1,605 | 90 days | 1,677 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samindo Resources to stay under 1,677 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Samindo Resources Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Samindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samindo Resources Tbk price to stay between its current price of 1,605 and 1,677 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samindo Resources Tbk has a beta of -0.13. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Samindo Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Samindo Resources Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Samindo Resources Tbk has an alpha of 0.3094, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Samindo Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Samindo Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samindo Resources Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Samindo Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samindo Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samindo Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samindo Resources Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samindo Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 76.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Samindo Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Samindo Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Samindo Resources Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Samindo Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Samindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Samindo Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Samindo Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 88.4 M |
Samindo Resources Technical Analysis
Samindo Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samindo Resources Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Samindo Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Samindo Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Samindo Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samindo Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Samindo Resources Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Samindo Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Samindo Resources Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Samindo Stock
Samindo Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samindo with respect to the benefits of owning Samindo Resources security.