Proshares Short Midcap400 Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 17.95
| MYY Etf | USD 17.81 0.01 0.06% |
Closest to current price ProShares long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
ProShares |
ProShares Short Target Price Odds to finish below 17.95
The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 17.95 after 90 days |
| 17.81 | 90 days | 17.95 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares Short to stay under $ 17.95 after 90 days from now is under 4 (This ProShares Short MidCap400 probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ProShares Short MidCap400 price to stay between its current price of $ 17.81 and $ 17.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.59 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Short MidCap400 has a beta of -1.17. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ProShares Short MidCap400 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ProShares Short is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally ProShares Short MidCap400 has an alpha of 0.0151, implying that it can generate a 0.0151 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ProShares Short Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ProShares Short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Short MidCap400. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ProShares Short Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares Short MidCap400, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
ProShares Short Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares Short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares Short MidCap400 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ProShares Short generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| This fund generated-11.0 ten year return of -11.0% | |
| ProShares Short maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
ProShares Short Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ProShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ProShares Short's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProShares Short's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
ProShares Short Technical Analysis
ProShares Short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProShares Short MidCap400. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ProShares Short Predictive Forecast Models
ProShares Short's time-series forecasting models is one of many ProShares Short's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProShares Short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ProShares Short MidCap400
Checking the ongoing alerts about ProShares Short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProShares Short MidCap400 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ProShares Short generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| This fund generated-11.0 ten year return of -11.0% | |
| ProShares Short maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Check out ProShares Short Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Short Correlation, ProShares Short Hype Analysis, ProShares Short Volatility, ProShares Short History as well as ProShares Short Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
The market value of ProShares Short MidCap400 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Short's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Short's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Short's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Short's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.