NEO PERFORMMAT (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.01

N14 Stock  EUR 5.16  0.06  1.15%   
NEO PERFORMMAT's future price is the expected price of NEO PERFORMMAT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NEO PERFORMMAT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NEO PERFORMMAT Backtesting, NEO PERFORMMAT Valuation, NEO PERFORMMAT Correlation, NEO PERFORMMAT Hype Analysis, NEO PERFORMMAT Volatility, NEO PERFORMMAT History as well as NEO PERFORMMAT Performance.
  
Please specify NEO PERFORMMAT's target price for which you would like NEO PERFORMMAT odds to be computed.

NEO PERFORMMAT Target Price Odds to finish over 5.01

The tendency of NEO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 5.01  in 90 days
 5.16 90 days 5.01 
about 85.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEO PERFORMMAT to stay above € 5.01  in 90 days from now is about 85.6 (This NEO PERFORMMAT probability density function shows the probability of NEO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NEO PERFORMMAT price to stay between € 5.01  and its current price of €5.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NEO PERFORMMAT has a beta of 0.33. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NEO PERFORMMAT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NEO PERFORMMAT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NEO PERFORMMAT has an alpha of 0.1093, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NEO PERFORMMAT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NEO PERFORMMAT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEO PERFORMMAT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.785.167.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.875.257.63
Details

NEO PERFORMMAT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEO PERFORMMAT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEO PERFORMMAT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEO PERFORMMAT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEO PERFORMMAT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

NEO PERFORMMAT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NEO PERFORMMAT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NEO PERFORMMAT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEO PERFORMMAT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NEO PERFORMMAT Technical Analysis

NEO PERFORMMAT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEO PERFORMMAT. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NEO PERFORMMAT Predictive Forecast Models

NEO PERFORMMAT's time-series forecasting models is one of many NEO PERFORMMAT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NEO PERFORMMAT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NEO PERFORMMAT

Checking the ongoing alerts about NEO PERFORMMAT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NEO PERFORMMAT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEO PERFORMMAT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in NEO Stock

NEO PERFORMMAT financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEO with respect to the benefits of owning NEO PERFORMMAT security.