Nasdaq (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 250.77

N1DA34 Stock  BRL 250.77  3.00  1.21%   
Nasdaq's future price is the expected price of Nasdaq instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nasdaq Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nasdaq Backtesting, Nasdaq Valuation, Nasdaq Correlation, Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Nasdaq Volatility, Nasdaq History as well as Nasdaq Performance.
  
Please specify Nasdaq's target price for which you would like Nasdaq odds to be computed.

Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish over 250.77

The tendency of Nasdaq Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 250.77 90 days 250.77 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nasdaq to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nasdaq Inc probability density function shows the probability of Nasdaq Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nasdaq has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nasdaq average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nasdaq Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nasdaq Inc has an alpha of 0.3635, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nasdaq Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasdaq Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
249.39250.77252.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
225.69279.04280.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
256.25257.63259.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
206.37228.51250.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nasdaq. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nasdaq's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nasdaq's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nasdaq Inc.

Nasdaq Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nasdaq Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
13.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Nasdaq Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nasdaq Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nasdaq's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nasdaq's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding500 M

Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nasdaq Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nasdaq Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nasdaq Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models

Nasdaq's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nasdaq's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nasdaq in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nasdaq's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nasdaq options trading.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Nasdaq Stock

When determining whether Nasdaq Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Nasdaq Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Nasdaq Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Nasdaq Inc Stock:
Check out Nasdaq Backtesting, Nasdaq Valuation, Nasdaq Correlation, Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Nasdaq Volatility, Nasdaq History as well as Nasdaq Performance.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nasdaq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nasdaq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nasdaq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.