Nanotech Indonesia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.85
| NANO Stock | 22.00 2.00 10.00% |
Nanotech |
Nanotech Indonesia Target Price Odds to finish below 18.85
The tendency of Nanotech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 18.85 or more in 90 days |
| 22.00 | 90 days | 18.85 | about 84.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nanotech Indonesia to drop to 18.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.2 (This Nanotech Indonesia Global probability density function shows the probability of Nanotech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nanotech Indonesia Global price to stay between 18.85 and its current price of 22.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nanotech Indonesia has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nanotech Indonesia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nanotech Indonesia Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nanotech Indonesia Global has an alpha of 0.6004, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nanotech Indonesia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nanotech Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanotech Indonesia Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nanotech Indonesia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nanotech Indonesia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nanotech Indonesia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nanotech Indonesia Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nanotech Indonesia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Nanotech Indonesia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nanotech Indonesia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nanotech Indonesia Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nanotech Indonesia appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nanotech Indonesia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nanotech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nanotech Indonesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanotech Indonesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B | |
| Shares Float | 1.2 B |
Nanotech Indonesia Technical Analysis
Nanotech Indonesia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nanotech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nanotech Indonesia Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nanotech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nanotech Indonesia Predictive Forecast Models
Nanotech Indonesia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nanotech Indonesia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nanotech Indonesia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nanotech Indonesia Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nanotech Indonesia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nanotech Indonesia Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nanotech Indonesia appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Nanotech Stock
Nanotech Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanotech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanotech with respect to the benefits of owning Nanotech Indonesia security.