Nasdaq 100 Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 35.53
| NASDX Fund | USD 39.66 0.13 0.33% |
Nasdaq |
Nasdaq 100 Target Price Odds to finish below 35.53
The tendency of Nasdaq Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 35.53 or more in 90 days |
| 39.66 | 90 days | 35.53 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nasdaq 100 to drop to $ 35.53 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nasdaq 100 Index Fund probability density function shows the probability of Nasdaq Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nasdaq 100 Index price to stay between $ 35.53 and its current price of $39.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nasdaq 100 has a beta of 0.74. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nasdaq 100 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nasdaq 100 Index Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nasdaq 100 Index Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nasdaq 100 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nasdaq 100
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasdaq 100 Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nasdaq 100's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nasdaq 100 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nasdaq 100 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nasdaq 100's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nasdaq 100 Index Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nasdaq 100 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0015 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Nasdaq 100 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nasdaq 100 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nasdaq 100 Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: MicroStrategys Imminent Inclusion In Nasdaq 100 Could Reportedly Spark Up To 2B In Fund Inflows - Yahoo Finance | |
| The fund maintains 98.28% of its assets in stocks |
Nasdaq 100 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nasdaq Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nasdaq 100's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nasdaq 100's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Nasdaq 100 Technical Analysis
Nasdaq 100's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nasdaq Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nasdaq 100 Index Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nasdaq Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nasdaq 100 Predictive Forecast Models
Nasdaq 100's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nasdaq 100's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nasdaq 100's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nasdaq 100 Index
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nasdaq 100 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nasdaq 100 Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MicroStrategys Imminent Inclusion In Nasdaq 100 Could Reportedly Spark Up To 2B In Fund Inflows - Yahoo Finance | |
| The fund maintains 98.28% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Nasdaq Mutual Fund
Nasdaq 100 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nasdaq Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nasdaq with respect to the benefits of owning Nasdaq 100 security.
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