Wahana Inti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 81.68
| NASI Stock | 89.00 1.00 1.11% |
Wahana |
Wahana Inti Target Price Odds to finish below 81.68
The tendency of Wahana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 81.68 or more in 90 days |
| 89.00 | 90 days | 81.68 | about 20.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wahana Inti to drop to 81.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.86 (This Wahana Inti MakmurTbk probability density function shows the probability of Wahana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wahana Inti MakmurTbk price to stay between 81.68 and its current price of 89.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wahana Inti has a beta of 0.47. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Wahana Inti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wahana Inti MakmurTbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wahana Inti MakmurTbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wahana Inti Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wahana Inti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wahana Inti MakmurTbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wahana Inti Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wahana Inti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wahana Inti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wahana Inti MakmurTbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wahana Inti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Wahana Inti Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wahana Inti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wahana Inti MakmurTbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wahana Inti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wahana Inti has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Wahana Inti MakmurTbk has accumulated about 16.58 B in cash with (6.04 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Wahana Inti Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wahana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wahana Inti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wahana Inti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 807.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.6 B | |
| Shares Float | 200 M |
Wahana Inti Technical Analysis
Wahana Inti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wahana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wahana Inti MakmurTbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wahana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wahana Inti Predictive Forecast Models
Wahana Inti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wahana Inti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wahana Inti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wahana Inti MakmurTbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wahana Inti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wahana Inti MakmurTbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wahana Inti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wahana Inti has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Wahana Inti MakmurTbk has accumulated about 16.58 B in cash with (6.04 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Wahana Stock
Wahana Inti financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wahana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wahana with respect to the benefits of owning Wahana Inti security.